Electronic Supplement to
Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models I: First-Order Results

by J. Douglas Zechar, Danijel Schorlemmer, Maximilian J. Werner, Matthew C. Gerstenberger, David A. Rhoades, and Thomas H. Jordan

Detailed Consistency Test Results for RELM Mainshock Forecasts

Model L-Test M-Test N-Test S-Test
Ebel et al. 0.952906 0.412491 0.955, 0.068 0.443750
Helmstetter et al. 0.588618 0.242807 0.626, 0.460 0.460197
Kagan et al. 0.639696 0.241060 0.651, 0.463 0.899239
Shen et al. 0.467529 0.222334 0.475, 0.643 0.831318
Ward Combo 0.994734 0.142233 0.996, 0.009 0.868505
Ward Geodetic 8.1 0.999793 0.142278 1.000, 0.000 0.765875
Ward Geodetic 8.5 0.921838 0.148647 0.937, 0.110 0.765875
Ward Geologic 0.972513 0.142629 0.985, 0.031 0.340957
Ward Seismic 0.970120 0.142152 0.977, 0.045 0.754327
Ward Simulator 0.126719 0.071698 0.330, 0.783 0.517308
Wiemer & Schorlemmer 0.454638 0.417731 0.804, 0.261 0.000112

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