Electronic Supplement to
Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models I: First-Order Results

by J. Douglas Zechar, Danijel Schorlemmer, Maximilian J. Werner, Matthew C. Gerstenberger, David A. Rhoades, and Thomas H. Jordan

Detailed Comparison Test Results for RELM Mainshock+Aftershock Forecasts

  Ebel et al. Helmstetter et al. Holliday et al. Kagan et al. Shen et al.
Bird & Liu 1.63 ± 1.01
0.000, 0.000
-0.86 ± 0.99
0.000, 0.000
-0.35 ± 2.02
0.173, 0.021
0.43 ± 0.86
0.015, 0.029
0.01 ± 0.72
0.468, 0.973
Ebel et al.   -2.09 ± 0.83
0.000, 0.000
-1.51 ± 1.85
0.000, 0.000
-0.54 ± 0.62
0.001, 0.000
-1.01 ± 0.63
0.000, 0.000
Helmstetter et al.     0.51 ± 1.72
0.056, 0.183
1.20 ± 0.91
0.000, 0.000
0.77 ± 0.90
0.000, 0.001
Holliday et al.       0.53 ± 1.67
0.077, 0.020
0.07 ± 1.78
0.432, 0.043
Kagan et al.         -0.42 ± 0.49
0.000, 0.001

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