Updates on the Finite-Fault Rupture Detector Algorithm (Finder v.2)

Abstract:

The Finite-Fault Rupture Detector (FinDer) algorithm provides real-time finite-source models for on-going fault ruptures. The FinDer algorithm determines a line-source model that is best suited to explain the current spatial ground-motion pattern observed at any given time in a dense seismic network. This is done via the cross-correlation of observed ground-motion amplitudes with theoretical templates modeled from empirical ground-motion prediction equations and a range of magnitude-dependent rupture lengths. The estimated line-source parameters (centroid, length, and strike) and uncertainties are updated every second to accommodate the temporal changes in the observed amplitudes caused by the evolving fault rupture. The FinDer v.2 algorithm has been implemented in C++ and integrated into the ShakeAlert and SeisComP3 seismic processing systems. We report the real-time and offline performances of FinDer in various regions including the Pacific Northwest, Switzerland, Chile, Central America, Central Italy, and Japan. We compare FinDer performance for different ground-motion metrics used for template generation, including peak-ground acceleration and velocity amplitudes, with and without site corrections. We typically obtain stable line-source solutions within a few seconds from event origin, provided the seismic network is sufficiently dense. Even when ground motions are available only at the nearest stations, FinDer can generate line-source estimates. From these estimates, seismic ground-motions can be predicted for surrounding areas often before the onset of strong shaking. These results demonstrate the potential of FinDer for earthquake early warning. For small earthquakes, generally 2.5 < M < 5.0, the FinDer-estimated rupture strike tends to coincide within 25o or less with one of the nodal planes of the fault plane solutions, suggesting an important role of rupture orientation in small earthquakes, which creates asymmetric ground-motion patterns.

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The 2017/09/08 Mw 8.2 Tehuantepec, Mexico, Earthquake: A Large but Compact Dip-Slip Faulting Event Severing the Slab

Abstract:

The Mw 8.2 September 8 earthquake occurred in the middle of the “Tehuantepec Gap,” a segment of the Mexican subduction zone that has no historical mentions of a large earthquake. It was, however, not the expected subduction megathrust earthquake, but rather an intraplate, normal faulting event, in the subducting oceanic Cocos plate. We inverted for the slip on the fault plane, using; 1) local strong motion and high rate GPS records and 2) teleseismic body and surface waves, together with static GPS offsets. From the hypocenter at a depth of 50 km, the rupture propagated NW on a near-vertical plane, breaking towards the surface. Most of the slip was concentrated in the distance range 30-100 km from the hypocenter and at depth between 15 and 50 km, with maximum slip of ~15m. The earthquake seems to have broken the entire lithosphere, estimated to be 35 km based on the plate age. The strike of the fault is sub- parallel to the trench, aligned with the existing fabric on the incoming plate, suggesting a reactivation of previous structures. We relocated the aftershocks and found that they occurred along the fault plane during the first day after the event, with activation of other parallel structures within the subducting plate, towards the east, as well as in upper plate, in the following days. Coulomb stress modeling suggests that the stress on the plate interface, updip of the earthquake, is reduced. There are several other examples of large intraslab normal faulting earthquakes, near the downdip edge (1931 Mw 7.8 and 1999 Mw 7.5, Oaxaca) or directly below (1997 Mw 7.1, Michoacan) the coupled plate interface, along the Mexican subduction zone. The possibility of events of similar magnitude to the 2017 earthquake occurring close to the coastline, all along this part of the subduction zone, cannot be ruled out.

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